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Affordability Decision Rules Framework (budget-impact threshold categorisation)

Methodpeer-reviewed✓ Source-grounded

This method helps health systems decide how expensive a new health intervention is by comparing its cost to the total health budget. It groups costs into four levels—low, moderate, high, and very high—based on how much of the country's health spending they would use. This helps policymakers understand the financial impact and make better decisions about funding new treatments.

At a glance

Use when

Deciding on the affordability of new health technologies; supporting HTA deliberations; benchmarking budget impact across countries; developing or refining national threshold policies

Avoid when

Used as a rigid cutoff for funding decisions; applied without considering local health system priorities, capacity, or equity concerns

Inputs

Budget impact of a health intervention, total health expenditure of a country

Outputs

Categorisation of budget impact into low, moderate, high, or very high levels

How it works

The Affordability Decision Rules Framework identifies and standardises budget impact thresholds (BITs) used across health systems by expressing them as a proportion of a country's total health expenditure. Based on a systematic review and consultation with HTA agencies, it proposes four empirically derived categories: low (<0.005%), moderate (0.005% to <0.01%), high (0.01% to <0.02%), and very high (≥0.02%). These categories are designed to support cross-country comparisons and inform deliberative processes in health technology assessment and coverage decision-making.

HTA domains
Costs & Economic Evaluation, Organisational aspects
Assumptions
Budget impact thresholds reflect policy relevance; higher thresholds correspond to more stringent policy actions; health expenditure data are reliable and comparable across countries
Strengths
Provides a standardised, data-driven framework for cross-country comparison; based on real-world thresholds and systematic review; applicable to 182 countries using publicly available data
Limitations
Not a standalone decision tool; requires contextual adaptation; does not replace local HTA or cost-effectiveness analysis; limited by variability in how countries define and apply thresholds
Also known as
Affordability Decision Rules Framework, Budget Impact Threshold Categorisation Framework

Questions this answers

References & sources

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